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ANOTHER LOOK AT RISK vs. REWARD: Quantifying Risk
May 10, 2023 | Risk Reward
It’s a sure thing, it can’t miss! We’ve all heard it before. We’ve also heard “but no one could have predicted…” and “the odds were a thousand to one that…” afterwards. Words spoken by smart people who were making good decisions based on odds that were strongly in their favor. With that in mind, let’s take closer look at Risk vs Reward....
CRE IN DANGER WILL ROBINSON!! (or not)
Mar 28, 2023 | Risk Reward
UPDATED April 10 2023: Since I first posted this blog on March 31st (below), this story has fully moved to the front burner. Does it feel like it is already running out of steam? Maybe someone crunched the numbers like Will Robinson and is ...disappointed? As they try to intertwine these two stories to gin up some kind of apocalypse, an...
Interest Rates vs Cap Rates
Nov 8, 2022 | Calculating Risk, Investment Analysis, Refinancing
As I write this, a 1-year T-Bill is at 4.55%, the 10-year is at 4.10%; and a 5-year Treasury Note, a common mortgage loan index, stands at 4.25%. How is that good for commercial real estate? Let’s explore: A quick glance at two random properties recently posted on LoopNet in my region include a mixed-use property and a STNL medical building –...
Is the New Normal New?
May 19, 2020 | Coronavirus, New Normal, Pandemic
A lot of people are talking about the “New Normal.” It's kind of a linguistic coping mechanism we use to help come to grips with the fact that our world has abruptly changed, and we have to change with it. (Don't you hate when that happens?!) Every aspect of society has been affected and we in the real estate industry are no exception....